PredictionLab — links

Prediction markets, measured. Everything here is free and reproducible.

Watch

• YouTube — youtube.com/@predictionlab_io: one short a day, every number from a public table.
• TikTok, Instagram and X accounts are being set up; the links land here as they open.

Read

• The labs — what we found so far: longshots, maker rewards, the same question on two exchanges.
• Lab 1 · Longshot fade — English · по-русски
• Lab 2 · Maker rewards — English · по-русски
• Lab 3 · Kalshi vs Polymarket — collecting

Code and data

• Repository — github.com/1DanWave2/predictionlab: the engine, every lab's scripts, the video pipeline's numbers.
• Data release — data-latest: the parquet files behind every chart, refreshed nightly.
• Video files — videos: the rendered shorts, if you want them without an app.

Talk

• Telegram (Russian) — t.me/predictionlab_ru: daily moves, lab write-ups, the evening Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap list.
• Gap alerts (English) — the Kalshi ↔ Polymarket price gaps we collect every 5 minutes. Free channel coming once a few weeks of ticks exist; the raw pairs are already in the cross-venue lab.
• Issues — report a wrong number: the table it came from is one click away.

No signals, no referral links, no promises.